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Preparing Bursa for earthquakes through better urban planning
Earthquake preparedness cannot be measured simply by new towers or demolished buildings. Bursa extends from Uludağ's slopes across the plain, industrial districts and coast, with older narrow streets beside newer development. Effective renewal needs to consider buildings, ground conditions, roads, utilities and assembly spaces together, with residents involved in decisions.
Studies, plans and individual projects advanced in 2026. That does not mean every building has been assessed or every announced scheme is under construction. This guide distinguishes the planning work from what a property owner can verify for a particular building.
Understanding different kinds of risk
Bursa faces significant earthquake hazard, but conditions vary from one site to another. Ground conditions, faults, construction quality, structural changes, neighbourhood density and emergency access all affect possible outcomes.• Seismic hazard concerns the likelihood and intensity of shaking.
• Building vulnerability concerns how a particular structure may respond.
• Urban risk brings together the potential consequences for people, buildings, transport and critical services.
The old “first-degree earthquake zone” terminology still appears in some municipal publicity. Türkiye's current hazard map, effective from 2019, uses ground-motion values rather than those old zones. Neither a neighbourhood name nor a refreshed façade proves that an individual building is safe.
AFAD explanation of the current seismic hazard map
Bursa's earthquake-risk reduction project
Bursa Municipality and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) developed a project assessing buildings, infrastructure, public facilities and urban resilience, with results intended to inform planning and implementation.Municipal account of the project's objectives
The municipality's 14 July 2026 report says the project began in 2022 and concluded in June 2026, with its findings presented to the municipal council. Completion of the study is a milestone; implementation of its recommendations is a further task, and does not mean the earthquake problem has been resolved.
Council presentation and confirmed study-completion date
The approach included assessment of structural risks across 17 organised industrial zones, alongside critical roads and lifeline facilities. An earthquake can disrupt hospitals, water, energy, transport and supply chains at the same time as housing.
Ecological renewal across approximately 380 hectares
In January 2026, the municipality announced design work for integrated ecological urban renewal around Merinos Park, Soğanlı and adjoining neighbourhoods, covering approximately 380 hectares. The approach seeks to improve older building stock, narrow streets and fragmented plots through green infrastructure, public space and pedestrian connections.Municipal ecological-renewal announcement
The wider aims include:
• Routes usable by ambulances and fire engines.
• Open space useful in everyday life and emergencies.
• Connections between neighbourhoods.
• Better rainwater drainage, shade and greenery.
• Density that does not replace one form of urban pressure with another.
Design work does not mean immediate demolition of every property in the area. Plans, decisions, ownership arrangements, agreements, finance and announced implementation stages remain necessary.
Separate projects in different districts
The Altıparmak–Merinos project concerns approximately 73 hectares in a central area, aiming to identify irregular development and risk and prepare an improvement programme.Official Altıparmak–Merinos project record
Gemlik also has a protocol concerning around 10 hectares in Yeni and Orhaniye. Other programmes in Yıldırım and elsewhere proceed through their own stages. “Bursa urban renewal” therefore describes several initiatives, with different boundaries and schedules.
What property owners should check
1. Collect property documents: the title deed, construction permission, approved design and occupancy documentation where available.2. Treat construction year as an initial indicator: it is not a structural assessment.
3. Arrange an appropriately qualified engineering assessment: visual inspection alone cannot establish concrete strength or reinforcement details.
4. Check subsequent alterations: removed columns, ground-floor conversions, extra storeys and changes of use can affect structural behaviour.
5. Distinguish screening from formal determination: an initial survey may prioritise further examination without constituting a legally effective at-risk-building decision.
6. Ask about neighbourhood preparedness: evacuation access, assembly space, water and utility disruption.
Before paying an intermediary or signing an agreement, verify their authority, the contract, the approved plan and the responsible body's decision. Ask the relevant authority about the procedure applicable to your building.
Everyday preparedness should continue now
Secure heavy furniture and appliances, prepare an emergency bag, identify your assembly area and agree how the family will communicate. Keep corridors and emergency exits clear. Know how to isolate utilities safely when necessary, and follow AFAD's instructions for action during and after shaking, including avoiding lifts.AFAD guidance before, during and after an earthquake
At neighbourhood level, priorities include keeping critical routes clear, training volunteers, protecting schools and health centres, and planning appropriate assistance for older and disabled residents.
What makes renewal effective?
Ask whether structural risk has fallen, existing residents can return, roads and utilities have improved, public space has increased and quality is independently monitored.Funding a scheme through increased density can create new congestion. Relocating people far from work and schools can disrupt the community even when the replacement buildings are new. Safety and fair arrangements need to be considered together.
What the published evidence establishes
• The JICA-supported study concluded in June 2026 and was presented to the council in July; implementation remains a separate matter.• The 380-hectare ecological scheme was announced at design stage, rather than as comprehensive construction across every property.
• District renewal initiatives are separate projects.
• A building's safety cannot be determined from its neighbourhood name or appearance.
• An announced plan or date is different from a construction permission or final agreement with owners.
Measure progress at neighbourhood level
Bursa's broader framework connects ground, buildings, industry, infrastructure and roads with urban renewal. Its practical success will be shown through reliable assessments, safer buildings, usable emergency access, meaningful public space and fair agreements with residents. For an individual property, the essential evidence is a building-specific engineering assessment and the applicable official procedure.
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Historic Bursa: Bazaars, Inns, Mosques and Ottoman Villages
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